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Home/Case Studies/Retail
Leading APAC Retail Conglomerate

Reducing Supply Chain Waste with Predictive AI

How we helped a multi-national retailer implement an AI-native demand forecasting system, reducing stockouts by 32% and cutting working capital requirements.

32%

Reduction in Stockouts

$18M

Working Capital Freed

8x

ROI in Year 1

The Challenge

The client operated over 500 retail locations across Southeast Asia with a highly complex supply chain. Their legacy forecasting models were rule-based and relied on historical averages, leading to severe stockouts during peak seasons and massive overstock during off-peak periods. They lacked the ability to ingest real-time signals like weather, local events, or social media trends into their purchasing decisions.

Our Solution

  • Deployed an end-to-end MLOps pipeline on Databricks to clean and unify 5 years of historical transaction data.

  • Built a gradient boosting model (XGBoost) to predict SKU-level demand across 500+ stores, factoring in 40+ external variables (weather, holidays, competitor pricing).

  • Implemented an Agentic AI orchestration layer that automatically generated purchase orders and alerted procurement managers only for high-risk anomalies.

  • Established a robust Model Governance framework to monitor data drift and retrain models autonomously.

The Impact

The transition from reactive to predictive inventory management transformed the client's working capital dynamics. Within the first 6 months of deployment across their flagship stores, the system achieved a massive reduction in out-of-stock events while simultaneously lowering overall inventory holding costs.

Ready to see similar results?

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